Following the current confusion, politicians have realigned their strategies. Others launching their parties to save their political relevance. I had to meet a political analyst, Mr. Ogari Mtetezi to draft a way forward for the 2017 race. He had to come up with the following,
“On the eve of the last general elections, there was culmination of formation of G7-Alliance that sparkled the political environment and realigned political heavyweights. This has been replicated this year by the much hyped National Super Alliance (NASA).
Arraigned on the G7 Alliance matrix was the then URP defacto leader William Ruto, Former Finance Minister Uhuru Kenyatta, Former Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka, Former Justice Minister Eugene Wamalwa, Former Energy Minister Kiraitu Murungi, Chirau Ali Mwakwere alias ‘Zipapa’, Charity Ngilu et al. All these political heavyweights had one agenda in common; to defeat one Raila Amolo Odinga in the then upcoming 2013 elections.
Further realignments saw G7-alliance break and regroup to form TNA that was rejoined by URP to win the embattled Presidency against Former PM Raila Odinga.
Coming back to N.A.S.A., it’s agenda is not different from G7 though this time round, Raila Odinga is at the centre & mix of the same arrangement having its main agenda to oust Uhuruto. NASA brings political lilinuts like Isaac Ruto who has not yet announced his entry to national politics but instead concentrating in Bomet County. Other key players include Kalonzo Musyoka, Raila Odinga, Musalia Mudavadi, Gideon Moi, Martha Karua, Charity Ngilu, Hassan Joho et al.
THE MUDAVADI FACTOR
N.A.S.A. was Musalia Mudavadi’s brainchild idea after showing all possible ways that he can’t join Jubilee after the purported 2013 betrayal. He intends to be the President in the first matrix with Kalonzo as his Deputy or Deputy President in the second matrix with Gideon Moi as the President. He is also banking on Moi family’s support after confiding in Gideon Moi in 2013. Mudavadi’s most undoing is his lack of confidence with Raila Odinga hence he believes that Raila can’t sacrifice presidency for him. This is seen as Mudavadi’s scheme to get CORD ticket through the backdoor after decamping it after 2007 elections. But without Raila’s influence, NASA would just be a third force after all.
THE RAILA FACTOR
He is seen as the only Moses that can take NASA to the promised land due to his marketability, people’s love and the game’s passion. His NASA most preferred position is Prime Minister. Though, political analysts question Raila’s NASA presence after failing to organize CORD. It would be an add for Raila to be the NASA flag bearer but it would be a miracle for Mudavadi to accept to play second fiddle to Raila after the unsuccessful 2007 attempt.
GIDEON MOI , KALONZO, WETANGULA
The NASA associates like Kalonzo Musyoka, Gideon Moi and Moses Wetangula do not want to leave it to any other person apart from themselves. In the political matrix, they are rumoured to take the place of Deputy Prime Minister, Speaker and Leader of Majority. Moses Wetangula believes he can be the flag bearer of both NASA and CORD, same case with Kalonzo Musyoka having been in the game longer than even Raila Odinga. The person of Gideon Moi is rumoured to be secretly scheming with Mudavadi to take over in 2022 after Mudavadi’s first attempt. He is in the inner circles of NASA considering Mudavadi’s closeness with Moi family.
The most undoing of NASA is not only trust but also unreality. The moment each of the king makers (pictured below) demand to be the flag bearer of NASA will be the dead-end of it. NASA will nurse injuries before, during and after 2017.
The moment some of the NASA key players like Martha Karua and Charity Ngilu withdraw their participation in national politics to county politics will be the starting point failure of NASA.
The moment each of the NASA bigwigs threaten to join Jubilee ‘if not elected as NASA Flagbearer’, will be hitting NASA’s last nail on its political coffin.
From our projections, Moses Wetangula and Kalonzo Musyoka are looking for a soft landing in Jubilee, and they will get it due to Deputy President’s and craftiness.
The moment each of the NASA bigwigs point at Jubilee administration failures without crafting a 2017 winning formula will be the burial of NASA.
Uhuru Kenyatta will have his cake and eat it in full leaving the NASA political brokers nursing political injuries IN 2017 as we wait for further winning in 2022. It will be a two decade honeymoon for Uhuruto, not because they are the best but because of opposition’s discombobulation.”